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Change Overview and Rationale

The Credit Crisis was an Epochal Event

From July 2007 to March 2009, share prices for global banks fell by 75%. That erased US$5 trillion in shareholder equity. Considering all markets, McKinsey has estimated that the fall in global wealth was US$25 trillion. To put that in context, the lost wealth was nearly 45% of global GDP, or a half year’s wages for the entire working world. On that basis, says Bank of England’s Andrew Haldane, “asset price falls in the UK and US were as large as during the Great Depression.”

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Current thinking in regulatory reform

Regulators have reported the conclusions of study groups looking into the causes of, and remedies for the Credit Crisis. A consensus of opinion exists as to causes, with a growing emphasis among larger central banks on the failings of liquidity risk management. All regulators believe new forms of infrastructure will be needed to prevent a recurrence of the conditions leading up to the Crisis. Larger central banks and securities regulators believe better monitoring within the existing infrastructure must be adopted as a global stopgap until the new infrastructures are created.

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Risk Management Failed at Many Levels

Regulators during the crisis were most concerned about the nearly unmanageable spike in systemic risk which, according to the IMF, FSB and BIS, is defined as “a risk of disruption to financial services that is caused by an impairment of all or parts of the financial system and has the potential to have serious negative consequences for the real economy.”

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Causes of the credit crisis

The Bank of England has called the Credit Crisis an “extraordinary period” which will have “deep and long-lasting consequences” for the global capital markets. The United States Federal Reserve has said the “the sources of the crisis were extraordinarily complex and numerous,” but at the root was the Fed’s belief that banks’ “risk management systems were inadequate and their capital and equity buffers insufficient.”

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